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Blazing Five: Colin Cowherd Gives His 5 Best NFL Bets For Week 4 (Oct. 1)

Blazin' 5: Colin Cowherd Gives His Five Best NFL Bets For Week 4

(VIDEO SEGMENT ABOVE)

2022 Blazin' 5 record: 44-37-4

2023 Blazin' 5 record: 2-10-3

Week 1: 0-5

Week 2: 0-4-1

Week 3: 2-1-2

Falcons at Jaguars (SPREAD: JAX -3)

“Jaguars, the game is in London, -3, I’m going to take Jacksonville. Favorites do very well in London. Favorites are 21-9 in London, and this is the tenth time the Jags have been over there, very comfortable as a franchise. Trevor Lawrence stunk against the Chiefs but do you know he’s the second-highest-graded passer in the league to Tua right now? Travis Etienne is running very well. I think they get right offensively. I think it’s a good team that just isn’t right. This story is about the Falcons. They have no pass rush at all, so Trevor Lawrence will be fine, and their offense is a mess. The lowest-graded passer in the league is Desmond Ridder, sacked 12 times, BRUTAL. Detroit got to him seven times. He’s completing less than 60% of his passes. This team struggles to do the easy stuff. Jacksonville is better, they get right, they’ll be more comfortable in the pocket, and overseas, Jags cover the spread and win 30-23.”

Colin's prediction: Jaguars 30, Falcons 23

Colin's pick: Jacksonville -3

Dolphins at Bills (SPREAD: BUF -3)

“It’s risky but I’m going to take Buffalo –3. They're the only team that is top three in scoring offense and defense this year. They lead the NFL in third down conversion rate, meaning they can keep Tua off the field, and none of us love Miami’s defense. It’s getting better but it’s not great. Josh Allen has absolutely owned the Dolphins, 9-2, 6-0 at home. The Dolphins are coming off a cartoonish 70-20 win. They are 3-0 but the wins are against the Chargers, Patriots, and Broncos, who are 2-7. The Miami defense isn’t good, I think Buffalo gets right. Remember, New England slowed down [Miami] and I think Buffalo’s defense is better with more star power. I’m going to take the Bills –3 to win at home and cover. They've been beating the Dolphins for years, they’ll beat them again 31-27.” 

Colin's prediction: Bills 31, Dolphins 27

Colin's pick: Buffalo -3

Bengals at Titans (SPREAD: CIN -2.5)

“Mike Vrabel is an amazing underdog coach, I’m going to take the Titans +2.5. The Bengals are on a short week, they played the late Monday night game, now they have to travel again, I’m taking the Titans. Vrabel straight up as an underdog, not against the spread—STRAIGHT UP, is 23-23. That’s the most wins by any team in that span. The Bengals offense is STRUGGLING. They lead the NFL with the most three-and-outs, yards per play, and they have almost no Big Plays [runs for 10+ yards, passes for 20+ yards]. Joe Burrow’s calf is getting better but he’s still dealing with it and this team is not throwing the ball down the field. They were outplayed by the Rams in the first half and bits of the second. Got a little lucky, couple of nice calls, Burrow played better late, I’m taking the Titans as a dog to win it, 27-23. It doesn’t even really feel like an upset.”
Colin's prediction: Titans 27, Bengals 23

Colin's pick: Tennessee +2.5

Vikings at Panthers (SPREAD: MIN -4)

“I like Minnesota –4. They’re 0-3 despite having the NFL’s passing leader and leading receiver. They'll score points. They leave them on the field because they’ve had turnovers which are fluky. Number two in yards per play. Kirk Cousins is completing 70% of his throws. Their rank offensively is no. 1 in several categories for Minnesota. They move the chains. The Panthers are now going back to Bryce Young at quarterback. He’s completing 24% of his throws down the field. They have no playmakers on the perimeter at all. I think the Vikings are a solid team that has been very unlucky. They could have beaten Tampa, they probably should have beaten-- due to a coaching error-- the Chargers. I’m going to take the Vikings to cover and win 26-17.”

Colin's prediction: Vikings 26, Panthers 17

Colin's pick: Minnesota -4

Patriots at Cowboys (SPREAD: DAL -6.5)

“It’s a low-scoring game to me, I’m taking the Patriots +6.5. It’s just too many points. The Patriots are 1-2 despite out-gaining their opponents by over 200 yards. They move the chains, they just don’t have big playmakers. Mac Jones has been a good fourth quarter quarterback. They’re top five in total defense, pass defense, third-down defense—they'll get Dallas off the field. Their defense has been very, very good. Christian Gonzalez has become a star at corner. Dak Prescott, now with three offensive linemen banged up, they went and grabbed a center off the street this week, they’re all banged up on the o-line. Dak Prescott’s passer-rating in two of his last three starts has been under 80. Dak is struggling, new offensive coordinator, banged up offensive line, against the best defensive coach in the league. New England has played Miami, they’ve played Philadelphia, Dallas is a BB gun offense compared to that. I think it goes down to the wire, Dallas wins 27-23 at home, but +6.5 is a lot of points.”

Colin's prediction: Cowboys 27, Patriots 23

Colin's pick: New England +6.5

All spreads are provided by Fox Bet.

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